Its called a Structural Deficit, and it means the budget without the benefit of the mining boom. But what many Labor supporters have grasped hold of it as is an excuse for Rudd and Swans mismanagement of the economy.
George Megalogenis has blogged a line that has left the Labor Luvvies still applauding;
Next week’s budget will confirm that the resources-led surge in revenue between 2003-04 and 2007-08 will have disappeared by 2009-10 and - crucially - won’t come back in the next recovery.
The core policy problem for Wayne Swan in dealing with the global recession is that the Coalition government left him with an unsustainable income tax mix that assumed too much from capital and took too little from labour. This is why the Treasurer is trying to tell two budget stories at once: economic stimulus for the short term and sacrifice for the long term.
But the dual purpose of the national budget contains its own political risk.
The size of the hole wasn’t apparent until this year - after Mr Swan’s first budget last May and after Labor’s first stimulus package last October.
So it leaves the Rudd Government vulnerable to the charge that the culpability is its.
This would be a false reading of recent political and economic history because it was the Howard government that misspent the proceeds of the mining boom.
Now thats sheer gold for the Labor trolls on his blog, but the argument against is very easy and simple;
Firstly the so called Structural Deficit is nothing more than failure to see the impending failure of national revenues. Despite the Coalition warnings during the election period, and quite some time after, Rudd and Swan were still running the Inflation Genie line well up to thier last budget. A perfect indicator that had not a clue as to the forward state of the economy.
Its been 18 months and 1 Labor budget (a budget that did nothing to adjust tax mix, nor forcast downturn) since Rudd and Swan too control of the economic and fiscal controls of this nation. No more can blame be apportioned to previous governments.